Regular divergence on AUD pairs without forcing the exit
A field note on reading regular bearish and bullish MACD divergence on AUD crosses — and resisting the urge to flatten too early.
AUD crosses produce clean swings for divergence drills: clear highs, clear MACD peaks, and enough liquidity that examples survive replay. Regular divergence — price making a higher high while MACD makes a lower high, or the inverse for lows — is where many traders exit too early out of fear.
What we mark first
We mark swing points on price, then corresponding MACD peaks or troughs, then ask whether the signal line has already crossed against the prior move. Divergence without a confirming cross is a watch condition, not a siren.
The early-exit problem
In coaching we often see traders flatten the moment divergence appears, only to watch price grind another session in the old direction. The training response is not “always hold.” It is “decide in advance whether divergence downgrades the position, caps adds, or triggers a hard exit.” Writing that rule before the session beats inventing it mid-bar.
Session structure we like
- Identify the swing pair on the 4H
- Confirm MACD peaks/troughs are not just noise inside a sideways band
- Check the daily histogram for agreement or conflict
- Choose the rule: downgrade, cap, or exit
Bring AUD examples to the intensive if that is your home market — day two thrives on charts students already care about.